When thinking of businesses, you have often said to yourself “it’s no wonder that this business is doing this” or “I wasn’t expecting that!”. There is a way to categorize businesses according to their relationship with innovation: 2D/3D/4D, with D meaning dimension. What do these categories mean?
2D businesses are grounded in the present, even glued to it
Prisoners of a strategy that was tremendously successful in the past, they are glued to the present. For instance Microsoft is a 2D business: it let the Internet, Smartphones, and Pads go by. Another example: Carrefour is a 2D business, glued in the present, and arguably even in the past.
3D businesses take the time to look into the future
They grow in size, their ecosystem guarantees their development, but they look into the future with the eyes of the present. Apple is an example of a 3D business. It has an ecosystem that gives it a vision 2-5 years into the future. In the retail sector E. Leclerc and Système U are 3D businesses.
4D businesses keep a foot in the present, but their bodies are in the future.
They add the future dimension to 3D. Google is a 4D business based on a sound 2D basis, an intelligible 3D component and a vision of time – constantly tested 4D. Auchan and the Association Familiale Mulliez are 4D businesses where there is a permanent future-oriented corporate culture. They look to the present with the eyes of the future.
What is the secret of 4D businesses such as Google and Auchan ?
They cultivate curiosity, encourage the use of intuition, and promote tests. They are constantly on the look-out for weak signals, especially their in-depth meanings (as opposed to their surface appearance). They extract from weak signals dynamic scenarios of the future. Put simply, they engage in forecasting…
By Philippe Cahen Speaker and forecasting consultant.